Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 9.362413 10.850122 12.446581 14.281269 16.325413 18.526863 21.070784
2025-04-06 7.608227 9.568556 11.805403 14.526404 17.725591 21.346005 25.730215
2025-04-13 6.392610 8.622172 11.301175 14.715405 18.905858 23.834938 30.021202
2025-04-20 5.606596 8.039394 11.095956 15.147496 20.299832 26.553276 34.628676
2025-04-27 4.940906 7.497373 10.842804 15.435987 21.462254 28.977404 38.921090
2025-05-04 4.299662 6.892651 10.420965 15.428304 22.190533 30.834812 42.526227
2025-05-11 3.564908 6.057333 9.590304 14.777866 21.991340 31.443127 44.506485
2025-05-18 3.079914 5.521440 9.113357 14.550400 22.307925 32.693227 47.316520
2025-05-25 2.643326 5.001823 8.602476 14.217638 22.431006 33.654334 49.738280
2025-06-01 2.309251 4.601921 8.227029 14.039631 22.738542 34.849214 52.482524
2025-06-08 1.983841 4.173323 7.762990 13.683747 22.750379 35.609153 54.626814
2025-06-15 1.794016 3.955573 7.611384 13.787129 23.427553 37.311575 58.111098
2025-06-22 1.593911 3.696121 7.370848 13.735860 23.871209 38.699742 61.207028
2025-06-29 1.453394 3.530290 7.271417 13.898675 24.639580 40.573591 65.037477
2025-07-06 1.326276 3.373577 7.171946 14.049095 25.385932 42.428199 68.879591
2025-07-13 1.248272 3.306374 7.224090 14.451634 26.539682 44.915874 73.699624
2025-07-20 1.159641 3.204886 7.203376 14.723521 27.487732 47.113129 78.138063
2025-07-27 1.044740 3.029980 7.029230 14.713570 27.969826 48.606004 81.557255
2025-08-03 0.873844 2.700865 6.527892 14.086327 27.397041 48.444358 82.476511
2025-08-10 0.766237 2.502823 6.264058 13.866963 27.488433 49.307592 84.953875
2025-08-17 0.661971 2.294641 5.958471 13.546567 27.386096 49.851390 86.942651
2025-08-24 0.582591 2.136452 5.740944 13.375223 27.527497 50.779057 89.535338
2025-08-31 0.499410 1.951515 5.446454 13.032836 27.347206 51.172775 91.292980